Interlagos: Probable outcomes


Alrighty, here’s my thoughts on the Brazilian GP and the probable finishers in order of their current position in points.

1.  Lewis Hamilton:  Has a good shot at victory, though since he’s on his second race for his engine he may take it nice and easy.  McLaren can be quick around Interlagos.

2.  Felipe Massa:  Probable winner.  He’s been massively quick around Brazil the past two years(think Will Power at Surfers Paradise or Nigel Mansell at Silverstone), and is in the Ferrari with a brand new, run-it-to-death engine.

3.  Robert Kubica:  Has been relatively pretty quick around most of the tracks this year if not all.  Excels in the rain.  Can finish top three if Raikkonen or Hamilton hits trouble, though is probably not with much of a chance for the win.

4.  Kimi Raikkonen:  Coming off a “let Massa past” move in Shanghai.  If he’s in the lead and Hamilton is not looking good for many points, he’ll let Massa by.  Combine that with his driving in the past few races, I don’t believe he has much of a chance for the win.

5.  Nick Heidfeld:  No chance for a victory.  He’s been totally decimated in qualifying this year, but if he hooks it up and gets a top seven or so in qualifying, he’s easily in for a top five.  One of the best “racers” out there.

6.  Fernando Alonso:  Could get a podium.  Renault’s looking good lately, and if anyone else makes a mistake, he will surely pounce on their misfortune.  Always fighting.

7.  Heikki Kovalainen:  Possible podium contender, though can never be sure.  He’s either right up behind Hamilton or absolutely nowhere.  Unpredictable.

8.  Sebastian Vettel:  Good for a decent haul of points.  Currently tied with Trulli, but Toyota’s on the downslope of their season, so he should end up eighth if he scores anything.

9.  Jarno Trulli:  Tied with Vettel.  Could get eighth, as Toyotas have run well at Interlagos in the past, but they’ve also had reliability issues and other problems this year.  Rear suspension is ALWAYS a worry after their double retirement in Brazil in 2006 and, more recently, Glock’s spectacular Hockenheim crash.

10.  Timo Glock:  Probably good for some points.  He’s been up there several times, most spectacularly with his dominating podium in Hungary.  I’d guess 6th would not be a shock considering his form on medium downforce and high downforce tracks.

11.  Mark Webber:  Started the season with a bunch of 7th places, and given Red Bull’s current speed, I’d say that seventh is as high as he will go.  A point would be useful, but not likely.

12.  Nelson Piquet:  Possible points contender.  Way slower than Alonso in the same car, but does want his drive next year, so could pull something huge out of his pocket.

13.  Nico Rosberg:  Seventh or eighth place if that.  Williams unreliability plus seemingly random slowness will probably bugger up his day.

14.  Rubens Barrichello:  On home soil, home race advantage could help him get a surprise point or two with his absolute rubbish Honda.  Could also just crash it as he’s done so many times in the past.

15.  Kazuki Nakajima:  No points unless it becomes a crashfest.  Relatively slow, but I don’t think he’s actually crashed all year.

16.  David Coulthard:  Maybe a point or two in his last race if he qualifies up there.  Motivated even in his old age, and does brilliantly well in any battle with another car on the track.

17.  Sebastien Bourdais:  Low points do not reflect talent or speed.  Could pick up a very good haul of points if the weekend goes well for him.

18.  Jenson Button:  Nowhere.

19.  Giancarlo Fisichella:  Perhaps a point if everybody else crashes.  Quick at times, but on average slow and wreck-happy.

20.  Adrian Sutil:  Unpredictable.  Could pull a fantastic drive out of his pocket and score an eighth, but almost impossible given the current speed of everybody else.

We shall see how my guesses are in only FIVE DAYS!


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